Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 9.484304e-01 1.190320 1.458785 1.775880 2.137229 2.533373 2.997650
2025-06-01 6.490933e-01 0.969080 1.363763 1.872896 2.498987 3.231228 4.139601
2025-06-08 4.232386e-01 0.762791 1.229444 1.883370 2.742846 3.803015 5.178064
2025-06-15 3.073052e-01 0.662596 1.200709 2.008350 3.126381 4.561123 6.482177
2025-06-22 2.157158e-01 0.564700 1.148323 2.083140 3.439000 5.239459 7.715416
2025-06-29 1.454095e-01 0.472905 1.080497 2.117345 3.687621 5.837593 8.863838
2025-07-06 8.825594e-02 0.376155 0.978143 2.077262 3.816579 6.270688 9.803054
2025-07-13 5.654801e-02 0.317169 0.926194 2.104837 4.038639 6.833456 10.927086
2025-07-20 3.455749e-02 0.266392 0.875304 2.122858 4.240416 7.368806 12.023555
2025-07-27 1.743830e-02 0.210061 0.794712 2.073415 4.326305 7.733815 12.888277
2025-08-03 7.669251e-03 0.164684 0.722803 2.026281 4.406625 8.087033 13.739532
2025-08-10 3.281883e-03 0.136137 0.682680 2.032936 4.572497 8.569177 14.781718
2025-08-17 7.292817e-04 0.103165 0.617194 1.980236 4.636827 8.905964 15.635621
2025-08-24 2.245656e-04 0.093597 0.620884 2.075470 4.965525 9.661509 17.118481
2025-08-31 6.772357e-06 0.075584 0.587035 2.081895 5.134131 10.170869 18.250427
2025-09-07 3.976041e-10 0.072114 0.606546 2.213055 5.535896 11.058886 19.960132
2025-09-14 NaN 0.064169 0.604259 2.291566 5.842721 11.802195 21.466783
2025-09-21 NaN 0.053846 0.585676 2.327343 6.069690 12.421493 22.797404
2025-09-28 NaN 0.039948 0.538782 2.284193 6.141878 12.789381 23.753387
2025-10-05 NaN 0.032733 0.521055 2.313421 6.353912 13.389507 25.070173
2025-10-12 NaN 0.026203 0.500948 2.332541 6.545076 13.957389 26.344230
2025-10-19 NaN 0.018059 0.457895 2.279738 6.587497 14.275979 27.238104
2025-10-26 NaN 0.011988 0.418534 2.229401 6.629818 14.592772 28.131733